In: Statistics and Probability
NT |
-3.23% |
16.66% |
-0.72% |
2.16% |
13.38% |
10.56% |
-3.93% |
5.85% |
-2.76% |
5.11% |
1.08% |
3.74% |
2.06% |
-4.55% |
17.46% |
-0.45% |
-1.81% |
-11.98% |
-2.09% |
12.84% |
-2.37% |
9.71% |
-1.77% |
5.86% |
6.81% |
11.55% |
7.14% |
-2.67% |
8.90% |
0.31% |
-1.57% |
6.69% |
4.18% |
3.15% |
3.89% |
2.94% |
-6.75% |
-9.47% |
-4.00% |
-5.77% |
-5.10% |
-2.51% |
-6.62% |
22.05% |
7.42% |
3.30% |
0.58% |
1.16% |
-0.72% |
2.16% |
13.38% |
3.74% |
2.06% |
-4.55% |
6.81% |
11.55% |
7.14% |
-6.75% |
7.42% |
-9.47% |
S&P 500 |
2.40% |
5.20% |
4.00% |
-0.50% |
9.00% |
1.90% |
-0.40% |
-2.30% |
2.10% |
2.40% |
-6.70% |
1.30% |
2.60% |
-2.50% |
9.80% |
-0.70% |
-0.30% |
-9.00% |
-4.90% |
-0.40% |
6.40% |
2.70% |
4.40% |
7.20% |
2.40% |
0.30% |
4.30% |
-4.60% |
4.70% |
2.40% |
-1.60% |
1.30% |
-4.00% |
11.40% |
-1.90% |
1.30% |
-2.00% |
2.90% |
0.50% |
-1.50% |
4.00% |
-2.00% |
1.20% |
0.40% |
3.40% |
1.30% |
0.70% |
1.40% |
4.00% |
-0.50% |
9.00% |
1.30% |
2.60% |
-2.50% |
2.40% |
0.30% |
4.30% |
-2.00% |
3.40% |
2.90% |
Ans a)- The first is to use the formula for beta, which is calculated as the covariance between the return (ra) of the stock and the return (rb) of the index divided by the variance of the index (over a period of three years).
beta formula in excel BETA = COVAR (A2: A61; B2: B61) / VAR (B2: B61)
following results are draw
Covariance(NT,SP) | 0.001141 | ||
= | 0.791566 | ||
Variance of S&P | 0.001441 |
Ans b)-
Beta for NT and the S & P 500 using the EXCEL slope function.
BETA FORMULA = SLOPE (B2: B61; A2: A61)
for NT = | 0.230584 |
Ans c)- following are the output of excel when we apply the regression analysis
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||||
Multiple R | 0.430832 | |||||||
R Square | 0.185616 | |||||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.171575 | |||||||
Standard Error | 0.064566 | |||||||
Observations | 60 | |||||||
ANOVA | ||||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
Regression | 1 | 0.055109 | 0.055109 | 13.21949 | 0.00059 | |||
Residual | 58 | 0.24179 | 0.004169 | |||||
Total | 59 | 0.296899 | ||||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
Intercept | 0.013434 | 0.008909 | 1.508002 | 0.136982 | -0.0044 | 0.031267 | -0.0044 | 0.031267 |
X Variable 1 | 0.804983 | 0.221401 | 3.635862 | 0.00059 | 0.361801 | 1.248164 | 0.361801 | 1.248164 |
1) Note that here we have taken NT=Y as a dependent variable and S&P=X as a independent variable
y = 0. 804 x + 0.0134
R² = 0.185
2) the t-statistic for a= intercept.is 1.508002
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | |
Intercept | 0.013434 | 0.008909 | 1.508002 | 0.136982 |
here the p-value for 0.136982 > 0.05 since there is weak evidence against the null hypothesis hence we accept the null hypothesis therefore it is Not significant.
3) t-statistic for β. = 3.635862
X Variable | 0.804983 | 0.221401 | 3.635862 | 0.00059 |
here the p-value for 0.00059< 0.05 since there is strong evidence against the null hypothesis hence we reject the null hypothesis therefore it is significant.
Screenshot-
Note- if it helps you then please appreciate the work.