In: Statistics and Probability
According to a study done by a university student, the probability a randomly selected individual will not cover his or her mouth when sneezing is
0.2670.267.
Suppose you sit on a bench in a mall and observe people's habits as they sneeze.
(a) What is the probability that among
1818
randomly observed individuals exactly
55
do not cover their mouth when sneezing?
(b) What is the probability that among
1818
randomly observed individuals fewer than
33
do not cover their mouth when sneezing?
(c) Would you be surprised if, after observing
1818
individuals, fewer than half covered their mouth when sneezing? Why?
Answer:
Given that:
According to a study done by a university student, the probability a randomly selected individual will not cover his or her mouth when sneezing is 0.267
The probability that a randomly selected person does not cover
his/her mouth while sneezing. That p = 0.267.
Let X be the number of persons in a mall who will sneeze.
a) the probability that among 18 randomly observed individuals
exactly 5 do not cover their mouth when? sneezing.
P(X = 55) = 18C5(0.267)^5
(1-0.267)^18-5
= 8568*0.001356*0.017634
= 0.2050
Hence, the required probability is, 0.2050
b) The probability that among 18 randomly observed individuals
fewer than 3 do not cover their mouth when? sneezing.
P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) +P(X = 1) +P(X = 2)
= 18C0 (0.267)^0 (1-0.267)^18-0 +
18C1 (0.267)^1 (1-0.267)^18-1 +
18C2 (0.267)^2 (1-0.267)^18-2
= 0.0037+ 0.0244+ 0.0757
= 0.1038
Hence, the required probability is, 0.1038
c) Would you be surprised? if, after observing 18?individuals,
fewer than half covered their mouth when? sneezing.
P(X < 9) = P(X = 0) +P(X = 1) +...... + P(X = 6) +P(X = 7)+P(X =
8)
= 0.0037+ 0.0244+ 0.0757+ 0.1471+0.2010+ 0.2050 + 0.1618+ 0.1010 +
0.7098
= 1.6295
Hence, the required probability is, 1.6295
It is observe that the fewer than half of the 18 persons do not cover their mouth we would doubt about the proposed probability 'p' .and would comment crudely that may be the proportion of persons those who do not cover their mouth is more than 0.267 .