In: Statistics and Probability
According to a study done by a university student, the probability a randomly selected individual will not cover his or her mouth when sneezing is
0.267. Suppose you sit on a bench in a mall and observe people's habits as they sneeze.
(a) What is the probability that among 18 randomly observed individuals exactly 8 do not cover their mouth when sneezing?
(b) What is the probability that among 18 randomly observed individuals fewer than 3 do not cover their mouth when sneezing?
(c) Would you be surprised if, after observing 18 individuals, fewer than half covered their mouth when sneezing? Why?
X ~ Binomial (n,p)
Where n = 18 , p = 0.267 (Probability of do not cover)
For binomial distribution,
P(X) = nCx px ( 1 - p)n-x
a )
P( X = 8) = 18C8 0.2678 0.73310
= 0.0506
b)
P( X <= 3) = P( X = 0) +P( X = 1) +P( X = 2) +P( X = 3)
= 18C0 0.2670 0.73318 +18C1 0.2671 0.73317 +18C2 0.2672 0.73316 +18C3 0.2673 0.73315
= 0.2511
c)
p(Covered their mouth when sneezing) = 1 - 0.267 = 0.733
P( X < 9) = P( X <= 8)
= P(X = 0) +P(X = 1) +P(X = 2) +P(X = 3) +P(X = 4) +P(X = 5) +P(X = 6) +P(X = 7) +P(X = 8)
= 18C0 0.7330 0.26718 +18C1 0.7331 0.26717 +18C2 0.7332 0.26716 +18C3 0.7333 0.26715
+ 18C4 0.7334 0.26714 +18C5 0.7335 0.26713 +18C6 0.7336 0.26712 +18C7 0.7337 0.26711
+ 18C8 0.7338 0.26710
= 0.0089
This probability is less than 0.05. So the event fewer than half covered their mouth while sneezing
is unusual.
Therefore,
Yes. We would surprised if fewer than half covered thier mouth while sneezing.