In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose that a committee of 12 people is selected in a random manner from a group of 100 people. Determine the probability that two particular people A and B will both be selected.
Total number of people = (n) = 100
number of selection (r) = 12
total number of ways of selecting 12 people out of 100 can be solved using the combination formula C(n,r)
setting n = 100 and r = 12
we get, total number of selecting 12 people = C(100,12)
Now, let us consider the case where two people A and B must be selected in the 12 people committee
So, 2 positions for A and B must be filled, now we can select only 10 people for committee
So, number of ways of selecting 12 people including both A and B = C(n,r)
setting n = 98 and r= 10 (because we have only 98 people after selecting A and B)
we get, number of ways = C(98,10)
Therefore, required probability = (number of ways of selecting 12 people including both A and B)/(total number of ways of selecting 12 people out of 100)
= C(98,10)/C(100,12)
= [98!/((98-10)!*10!)]/[100!/((100-12)!*12!)]
= [98!/(88!*10!)]/[100!/(88!*12!)]
= 1/75
= 0.0133