Question

Audrey and Diana go fishing at the Lyndon Fishing Pond. Upon arrival the owner informs them that the pond is stocked with an infinite number of independent fish, and that a typical fisher catches fish at a Poisson rate of 2 fish per hour. There are 10 other people fishing there that day. Diana has the same skill level as a typical fisher but Audrey catches on average twice as many fish as a typical fisher.

(a) (2) Find the mean and variance of the total number of fish caught over 5 hours.

For the rest of the question, assume that 90 fish were caught that day.
(b) (3) Show that we have the following probabilities. Use those rounded probabilities in parts b), c) and d):
i. The probability a fish was caught by Audrey is 0.154
ii. The probability a fish was caught by Diana is 0.077
iii. The probability a fish was caught by someone else is 0.769

(c) (2) Find the probability that Audrey catches 15 fish and Diana catches 15 fish

(d) (2) Find the probability that Audrey and Diana catch 30 fish together

(e) (2) Given that Audrey catches 15 fish, find the probability that Diana catches 15 fish

(f) (2) Explain logically the difference between the probabilities in (c), (d), and (e)

Answer 1