In: Statistics and Probability
A study investigated whether regular mammograms resulted in fewer deaths from breast cancer over a period of 16 years. Among 30,636 women who never had mammograms, 196 died of breast cancer, while only166 of 30,223 who had undergone screening died of breast cancer.
a) Do these results suggest that mammograms may be an effective screening tool to reduce breast cancer deaths?
b) If your conclusion is incorrect, which type of error did you commit?
Let denote the proportion of people died of breast cancer among women who never had mammograms and women who had undergone screening died of breast cancer respectively.
Conclusion in problem context :
There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that mammograms is an effective screening tool to reduce breast cancer deaths
b) One may commit a Type II error, i.e. fail to reject H0 when H0 is actually false.