In: Statistics and Probability
1. A researcher in a small town is interested in estimating the true proportion of adults in the town who smoke. 215 adults were randomly selected from the town, and it was found that 36 of them smoke. We would like to construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for the true proportion of adults in the town that smoke.
a. What are the values of ??/2, ?, ?̂, and ?̂? (Round ?̂and ?̂ to three decimal places if needed.) ??/2
Za/2= _______________ ? = _______________ ?̂= _______________ ?̂ = _______________
b. Calculate the margin of error (E) for a 90% confidence interval. (You must show the setup to receive credit. You may round to four decimal places if needed.) E = _______________
c. Construct the 90% confidence interval for the true proportion of smokers in the town. (Round limits to three decimal places.) _______________< ? < _______________
please show work and setup
Solution :
Given that,
a) n = 215
x = 36
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 36 / 215 = 0.167
?̂ = 1 - = 1 - 0.167 = 0.833
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
=1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
b) Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.167 * 0.833) / 215 )
= 0.0418
c) A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.167 - 0.0418 < p < 0.167 + 0.0418
( 0.125 < p < 0.209 )