In: Statistics and Probability
In a survey of 2003 adults in a recent year, 706 made a New Year's resolution to eat healthier. Construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population proportion. Interpret the results and compare the widths of the confidence intervals.
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is
l
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2003
x = 706
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 706/2003=0.352
1 - = 1- 0.352 =0.648
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E Z/2 *(( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 *((0.352*0.648) /2003 )
E = 0.0176
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.352-0.0176 < p <0.352+ 0.0176
0.3344< p < 0.3696
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.3344, 0.3696
(B)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2003
x = 706
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 706/2003=0.352
1 - = 1- 0.352 =0.648
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E Z/2 *(( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 *((0.352*0.648) /2003 )
E = 0.0209
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.352-0.0209 < p <0.352+0.0209
0.3311< p < 0.3729
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.3311, 0.3729