In: Statistics and Probability
Women have a mean systolic blood pressure of 125.17 with a
standard deviation of 10.34. Female blood pressure is known to be
normally distributed.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected female has a
blood pressure below 110.
(b) What female systolic blood pressure represents the
99th percentile?
(c) A group of 45 women who take an allergy drug have a mean
systolic blood pressure under 120. Should the drug company include
a warning about users having lower systolic blood pressure? Justify
your answer using probability.
a)
X ~ N ( µ = 125.17 , σ = 10.34 )
We convert this to standard normal as
P ( X < x ) = P ( Z < ( X - µ ) / σ )
P ( ( X < 110 ) = P ( Z < 110 - 125.17 ) / 10.34 )
= P ( Z < -1.47 )
P ( X < 110 ) = 0.0708
b)
X ~ N ( µ = 125.17 , σ = 10.34 )
P ( X < x ) = 99% = 0.99
To find the value of x
Looking for the probability 0.99 in standard normal table to
calculate critical value Z = 2.3263
Z = ( X - µ ) / σ
2.3263 = ( X - 125.17 ) / 10.34
X = 149.22
c)
X ~ N ( µ = 125.17 , σ = 10.34 )
P ( X < 120 )
Standardizing the value
Z = ( X - µ ) / (σ/√(n)
Z = ( 120 - 125.17 ) / ( 10.34 / √45 )
Z = -3.35
P ( ( X - µ ) / ( σ/√(n)) = ( 120 - 125.17 ) / ( 10.34 / √(45)
)
P ( X < 120 ) = P ( Z < -3.35 )
P ( X̅ < 120 ) = 0.0004
Since this probbaility is less than 0.05, the event is unusual.
The drug company should include a warning about users having lower systolic blood pressure.