In: Statistics and Probability
For this problem, carry at least four digits after the decimal
in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to
rounding.
A random sample of medical files is used to estimate the proportion
p of all people who have blood type B.
(a) If you have no preliminary estimate for p, how many
medical files should you include in a random sample in order to be
85% sure that the point estimate p̂ will be within a
distance of 0.04 from p? (Round your answer up to the
nearest whole number.)
medical files
(b) Answer part (a) if you use the preliminary estimate that about
12 out of 90 people have blood type B.
medical files
Solution,
Given that,
a) = 1 - = 0.5
margin of error = E = 0.04
At 85% confidence level
= 1 - 85%
= 1 - 0.85 =0.15
/2
= 0.075
Z/2
= Z0.075 = 1.44
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.44 / 0.04)2 * 0.5 * 0.5
sample size = n = 324 medical files
b) n = 90
x = 12
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 12 / 90 = 0.13
1 - = 1 - 0.13 = 0.87
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.44 / 0.04)2 * 0.13 * 0.87
n = 146.57
sample size = n = 147 medical files