In: Statistics and Probability
In any regression model, coefficient of determination R2 tells about the proportion of variation explained by the model. The amount which remains unexplained is due to error involve in experiment.
The coefficient of determination, R2, is similar to the correlation coefficient r. In case of simple linear regression model (the model involving only one predictor variable) we have:
The correlation coefficient tell how strong a linear relationship there is between two variables. R Squared is the square of the correlation coefficient, r (hence the term r squared)
That is, for simple linear regression, R2 = r2
A seasonal index shows how the average value of a particular season compares with the average of all seasons
If the value is 1, that means this season is actually at the average
If the value is more than 1 implies higher values than expected for that season
If the value is less than 1 implies lower values than expected for that season