In: Statistics and Probability
In a 2008 survey, people were asked their opinions on astrology - whether it was very scientific, somewhat scientific, or not at all scientific. Of 1436 who responded,71 said astrology was very scientific.
a. Find the proportion of people in the survey who believe astrology is very scientific. Answer ______ (Round to four decimal places as needed)
b. Find a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion with this belief. Answer (____, and _____)
c. Suppose a TV news anchor said that 5% of people in the general population think astrology is very scientific. Would you say that is plausible? Which one is correct?
Choose the correct answer below A,B,C or D Answer ______
A.This is not plausible because 5% is outside the interval.
B.This is not plausible because 5% is inside the interval.
C.This is plausible because 5% is inside the interval.
D.This is plausible because 5% is outside the interval.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1436
x = 71
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 71 / 1436 = 0.0494
1 - = 1 - 0.0494 = 0.9506
b) At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.0494 * 0.9506) / 1436)
= 0.0112
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.0494 ± 0.0112
= ( 0.0382, 0.0606 )
c) C.This is plausible because 5% is inside the interval.