In: Statistics and Probability
Assume that a sample is used to estimate a population proportion
p. Find the 90% confidence interval for a sample of size 99 with 38
successes. Enter your answer as an open-interval (i.e.,
parentheses) using decimals (not percents) accurate to three
decimal places.
90% C.I. =
Answer should be obtained without any preliminary rounding.
However, the critical value may be rounded to 3 decimal places.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 99
x = 38
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 38 /99 = 0.384
1 - = 1-0.384 = 0.616
At 90% confidence level
= 1-0.90% =1-0.90 =0.10
/2
=0.10/ 2= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Z/2 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 * ((0.384*(0.616) /99 )
= 0.080
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.384 - 0.080 < p < 0.384 + 0.080
0.304 < p < 0.464
( 0.304 ,0.464 )