In: Statistics and Probability
Survey results for a sample of 1,863 Americans showed that 71% agreed the process of registering and voting should be made easy so all citizens can vote.
Calculate the 95% Confidence Interval estimate for the population proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1863
Point estimate = sample proportion =
=0.71
1 -
= 1- 0.71 =0.29
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z/2 *
(((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.71*0.29)
/ 1863)
E = 0.021
A 95% confidence interval for proportion p is ,
- E < p <
+ E
0.71-0.021 < p < 0.71+0.021
0.689< p < 0.731