In: Finance
In recent years, investors have agreed that the market portfolio consists of more than just U.S. stocks and bonds. If you are an investor who invests in only U.S. stocks and bonds, describe the effects on risk in your portfolio:
In recent years, investors have agreed that the market
portfolio consists of more than just U.S. stocks and
bonds.
Market portfolio consists of all types of investible assets
from stocks(large cap, mid cap, small cap), debentures( public
debt, corporate debt), real estate, gold, ETFs, Mutual Funds etc.
in a weighted proportion of their total vaue in the entire asset's
universe and thus gives return which is equal to market's rate of
return.
If one invests in only U.S. stocks and bonds, though it
might be easy and safe to invest in a geography one is well aware
of and can certainly relate to but it simultaneously might have
varied kinds of risk on the portfolio.
Some of them are listed below:
1. Concentration
Risk:
Conentration risk refers to a risk of deploying high proportion or
value of portfolio large enough to be at risk if the concerned
geography faces any risk - natural calamity, political tensions,
social unrest etc. Thus diversifying helps in coping up with the
volatility of a single financial makrket of one particular
region.
For Example: If COVID would have been only restricted to China as a
geography (hypothetically), and investor's portfolio was heavily
inclined towards Chinese stocks, it would have had a severe impact
on the portfolio's value.
2. Interest Rate
Risk:
If an investor only invests US Stocks and bonds, he might not be
able to take advantage of the higher interest rates offered by the
developing economies. Also, investing in a single country might
lead to deterioration of asset quality or increase in credit risk
if the credit rating of the soveriegn bonds fall for that
particular economy. The reasons can be numerous - inability to pay
off soverign debt, increase in fiscal deficit, rise in inflation,
increase in NPAs(Non Performing Assets) of the banking system, to
mention a few.
For Eg: An investor might earn ~1.5-2% in US markets whereas can
earn multiple times if he invests in the developing markets like
India - be it bonds or equities.
3. Correlation
Effects :
Geographical diversificatiion of the stocks helps an investor or
portfolio manager to take an advantage of not so correltaed
financial markets across the world.
For Eg: If say, Asian stocks are going down due to any reason, one
might allocate resources to say US stocks which might have low
coorelation with asian economies
4. Currency Risk
:
Investing in multiple currencies or stocks of various country's
financial markets can help your portfolio tide over depreciation of
one single currency buy reducing the currency risk or exchange rate
risk. Depeeciation of a currency can negatively affect the value of
investments and also the return on investments - Dividend or
interest rate payments
One should not concentrate his investments in one single geography
is well explained by Warren Buffet as
well through his saying - " Do not put all the eggs in
one basket"
In the similar fashion, a prudent investor would diversify his
investment portfolio not only geographically, but also
- Sector wise,
- Asset wise,
- Income generating or wealth preservation wise
- Time Horizon wise - short term, Medium or long term
- Goal Wise etc.