In: Statistics and Probability
Thirty small communities in Connecticut (population near 10,000 each) gave an average of x = 138.5 reported cases of larceny per year. Assume that σ is known to be 40.9 cases per year.
(a) Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error? (Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit | |
upper limit | |
margin of error |
(b) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean annual
number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the
margin of error? (Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit | |
upper limit | |
margin of error |
(c) Find a 99% confidence interval for the population mean annual
number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the
margin of error? (Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit | |
upper limit | |
margin of error |
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean =
= 138.5
Population standard deviation =
= 40.9
Sample size = n = 30
a) At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z/2
* (
/n)
= 1.645 * (40.9 / 30
)
= 12.3
At 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
± E
138.5 ± 12.3
( 126.2, 150.8)
lower limit = 126.2
upper limit = 150.8
margin of error = 12.3
b) At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
= 1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z/2
* (
/n)
= 1.96 * (40.9 / 30
)
= 14.6
At 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
± E
138.5 ± 14.6
( 123.9, 153.1)
lower limit = 123.9
upper limit = 153.1
margin of error = 14.6
c) At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
= 1 - 0.99 =0.01
/2
= 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z/2
* (
/n)
= 2.576 * (40.9 / 30
)
= 19.2
At 99% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
± E
138.5 ± 19.2
( 119.3, 157.7)
lower limit = 119.3
upper limit = 157.7
margin of error = 19.2