In: Statistics and Probability
An audit firm surveyed salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 180 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing “bars” as “restaurants” on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer.
What is the estimated upper limit for the proportion of managers who caught salespeople cheating on an expense report with a 94% confidence?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 180
Point estimate = sample proportion = = 0.58
1 - = 1 - 0.58 = 0.42
At 94% confidence level
= 1 - 94%
=1 - 0.94
= 0.06
Z
= Z0.06 = 1.55
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.55 (((0.58 * 0.42) / 180)
= 0.057
A 94% upper confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
+ E
= 0.58 + 0.057 = 0.637
upper limit = 0.637