In: Finance
Suppose the inflation rate is expected to be 6% next year, 4.9% the following year, and 2.9% thereafter. Assume that the real risk-free rate, r*, will remain at 1.7% and that maturity risk premiums on Treasury securities rise from zero on very short-term bonds (those that mature in a few days) to 0.2% for 1-year securities. Furthermore, maturity risk premiums increase 0.2% for each year to maturity, up to a limit of 1.0% on 5-year or longer-term T-bonds.
Calculate the interest rate on 1-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Calculate the interest rate on 2-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Calculate the interest rate on 3-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Calculate the interest rate on 4-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places. %
Calculate the interest rate on 5-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.%
Calculate the interest rate on 10-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.%
Calculate the interest rate on 20-year Treasury securities.
Round your answer to two decimal places.%
Select the correct yield curve based on these data.
Given:
Inflation rate next year : 6%
Following year : 4.9%
Thereafter : 2.9%
Real risk-free rate : 1.7%
Maturity risk premium : 0% on very short term bonds to 0.2% for 1 year secuirities.Maturity risk premiums increase 0.2% for each year to maturity, up to a limit of 1.0% on 5-year or longer-term T-bonds.
Formulae for calculation of Nominal Rate :
(1+ nominal rate) = (1+ real rate)(1+ inflation rate)
Calculation of interest rate for various term bonds :
a) Interest on 1 Year Treasury Securities :
Real risk-free rate + maturity risk premium on 1 year treasury bond
1.7% + .2% = 1.9%
Note : No inflation rate given for the current year.
b) Interest rate on 2 Year Treasury Securities :
Step 1 : Calculation of nominal rate :
(1+ nominal rate) = (1+ .017)(1+.06)
1+ nominal rate = 1.07802
nominal rate = 1.07802-1
Nominal Rate = 0.07802 i.e., 7.802%
Step 2 : Calculation of interest rate :
Nominal Rate + Maturity risk premium on 2 year treasury bond
7.802 + (0.2%+0.2%)
=8.202
c) Interest rate on 3 Year Treasury Securities :
Step 1: Calculation of nominal rate :
(1+ nominal rate) = ( 1+.017)(1+.06)(1+.049)
1+ nominal rate = 1.13084
nominal rate = 1.13084-1
Nominal Rate = 0.13084 i.e., 13.084 %
Step 2 : Calculation of interest rate :
Nominal Rate + Maturity risk premium on 3 year treasury bond
13.084% + (0.2%+0.2%+0.2%)
= 13.684%
d) Interest rate on 4 Year Treasury Securities :
Step 1: Calculation of nominal rate :
(1+ nominal rate) = ( 1+.017)(1+.06)(1+.049)(1+.029)
1+ nominal rate = 1.16364
nominal rate = 1.16364-1
Nominal Rate = 0.16364 i.e., 16.364%
Step 2 : Calculation of interest rate :
Nominal Rate + Maturity risk premium on 4 year treasury bond
16.364% + (0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%)
= 17.164%