In: Statistics and Probability
A clinical trial is conducted to compare an experimental medication to placebo to reduce the symptoms of asthma. Two hundred participants are enrolled in the study and randomized to receive either the experimental medication or placebo. The primary outcome is self-reported reduction of symptoms. Among 100 participants who receive the experimental medication, 38 report a reduction of symptoms as compared to 21 participants of 100 assigned to placebo. When you test if there is a significant difference in the proportions of participants reporting a reduction of symptoms between the experimental and placebo groups. Use α = 0.05. What should the researcher’s conclusion be for a 5% significance level? Reject H0 because 2.64 ≥ 1.960. We have statistically significant evidence at α = 0.05 to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.
1. We reject H0 at the 5% level because 2.64 is greater than 1.96. We do have statistically significant evidence at α = 0.05 to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.
2. We fail to reject H0 at the 5% because -2.64 is less than 1.645. We do not have statistically significant evidence to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.
3. We fail to reject H0 at the 5% because -2.64 is less than 1.96. We do have statistically significant evidence at α = 0.05 to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.
4. We fail to reject H0 at the 5% because 2.64 is greater than -1.645. We do have statistically significant evidence at α = 0.05 to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.
For treatment, we have that the sample size is N1=100, the number of favorable cases is X1=38, so then the sample proportion p^1=X1/N1=38/100=0.38
For placebo, we have that the sample size is N2=100, the number of favorable cases is X2=21, so then the sample proportion is p^2=X2/N2=21/100=0.21
The value of the pooled proportion is computed as
= X1+X2/N1+N2 = 38+21/100+100= 0.295
Also, the given significance level is α=0.05.
(2) Rejection Region
Based on the information provided, the significance level is α=0.05, and the critical value for a two-tailed test is zc=1.96.
The rejection region for this two-tailed test is R={z:∣z∣>1.96}
(3) Test Statistics
The z-statistic is computed as follows:
(4) Decision about the null hypothesis
Since it is observed that ∣z∣=2.636>zc=1.96, it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.
Using the P-value approach: The p-value is p=0.0084, and since p=0.0084<0.05, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.
(5) Conclusion
It is concluded that the null hypothesis Ho is rejected. Therefore, there is enough evidence to claim that population proportion p1 is different than p2, at the 0.05 significance level.
We reject H0 at the 5% level because 2.64 is greater than 1.96. We do have statistically significant evidence at α = 0.05 to show that there is a difference in the proportions of patients reporting a reduction in symptoms.