Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Problem 1: G. Rifkin is considering investing some or all of a $60,000 inheritance. He looks...

Problem 1: G. Rifkin is considering investing some or all of a $60,000 inheritance. He looks at a one year cirtificate of deposit paying 6%, and/or a venture capital group project with a guaranteed 3% return but the potential of earning 10%. Mr. Rifkin woul like to invest the minimum amount of money neccessary to achieve the following

(i) An over all portfolio potential return of at least $4000. Note: The CD's guarantteed return is also its potential.

(ii) An over all portfolio guaranteed return of $2000.

a. Formulate a LP model and recommend an investment strategy (how much to invest in each investment).

b. How much can Rifkin keep for personal use?

Problem 1-1: Rifkin has decided to invest all his inheritance. Therefore, in addition to the two invetments mentioned above, he now looks also at an oil exploration investment. The return could be potentially 100% but he might also lose all his money. Therefore he set up risk protection conditions as follows:

(i)   At most $30K will be nvested in oil.

(ii) At least $20K will be invested in CD.

(iii) The portfolio value must have a guarantteed value of at least $40K at the end of the year.

How can Rifkin maximize the potential return of his portfolio?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Using excel solver

model: min(total investment)

constraints:

total investment<= 60,000

potential return>= 4000

portfolio guaranteed return = 2000

Invested Interest
CD 19047.62 1142.857143
VC 28571.43 857.1428571 2857.143
Total invested 47619.05
Total Potential 4000
Total Guaranted 2000

a) Req investments in CD and VC are provided in above table

b) For personal use he can keep = 60000-47619.05 = 12380.9

Problem 1-1: Forming new model in solver as per new conditions:

Guatanted portfolio value = Guatanted portfolio return + 60000

Final output is:

Invested Interest
LL UL
CD 0 0
VC 38834.91 1165.0474 3883.4913
Oil 21165.09 -21165.08655 21165.087
Total invested 60000
Total Potential 25048.578
Total Guaranted -20000.04
Guatanted portfolio value 39999.961

So, to max profit:

Invest as below:

CD 0
VC 38834.91
Oil 21165.09

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