In: Statistics and Probability
| Let us return to the content in Exercise 49. The data in Table 7.1 indicates the results of a GSS survey which asked white citizens who have either never been married or are married whether they own or are buying versus rent their home. Let us use confidence intervals to compare people who own or are buying a home among those that are married versus those who pay rent among those that are married. | |||
| Calculate pˆ for the group of homeowners among those that are married. | |||
| For a confidence level of ell = .97, determine the z-score for which 97% of normally | |||
| distributed data falls within z deviations of the mean. Review Example 7.1. | |||
| Use Equation 7.1 to find the standard error and then use Equation 7.2 to determine the | |||
| confidence interval for p. | |||
| Review the section notes to carefully explain what the interval tells us. | |||
| Repeat the above steps for the group of renters among that that are married. | |||
| Review the section notes to carefully explain what the interval tells us. | |||
| 
 Now compare these two intervals. Do the intervals overlap or not? What association do we have or not have between marriage and homeownership due to whether or not the intervals overlap?  | 
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| Married | Never Married | Total | |
| Owns or is Buying | 9,178 | 1,785 | 10,963 | 
| Pays Rent | 1,867 | 2,282 | 4,149 | 
| Total | 11,045 | 4,067 | 15,112 | 
Number of Items of Interest,   x =  
9178      
Sample Size,   n =    10963  
   
Sample Proportion ,    p̂ = x/n =   
0.8372      
          
   
Level of Significance,   α =   
0.03      
z -value =   Zα/2 =   
2.170   [excel formula
=NORMSINV(α/2)]  
Standard Error ,    SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =   
0.0035      
margin of error , E = Z*SE =    2.17*0.0035=  
0.0077      
          
   
Confidence Interval is      
       
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E =   
0.8372-0.0077=   0.8295  
   
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E =  
0.8372+0.0077=   0.8448  
   
          
   
97% Confidence interval is (   0.830  
< p <    0.845   )
======================
Number of Items of Interest,   x =  
11045      
Sample Size,   n =    15112  
   
Sample Proportion ,    p̂ = x/n =   
0.7309      
          
   
Level of Significance,   α =   
0.03      
z -value =   Zα/2 =    2.170   [excel
formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]  
Standard Error ,    SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =   
0.0036      
margin of error , E = Z*SE =    2.17*0.0036=  
0.0078      
          
   
Confidence Interval is      
       
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E =   
0.7309-0.0078=   0.7230  
   
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E =  
0.7309+0.0078=   0.7387  
   
          
   
97% Confidence interval is (   0.723  
< p <    0.739   )
two intervals do not overlap each other, hence, there is significant difference in proportion of homeowners that are married and renters that are married