In: Finance
A Company is involved in searching for locations in which to drill for oil. The firm’s current project requires an initial investment of $25 million and has an estimated life of 12 years. the
firm usually accepts projects that have payback periods between 1 and 4 years. The expected future cash inflows for the project are as shown in the following table.
Year Inflow
1 500,000
2 1,000,000
3 1,000,000
4 2,500,000
5 2,500,000
6 3,000,000
7 3,500,000
8 4,000,000
9 6,000,000
10 8,000,000
11 10,500,000
12 12,000,000
The firm’s current cost of capital is 14%.
TO dO
Create a spreadsheet to answer the following questions.
a. Calculate the payback period for the project. Is the project acceptable under the pay back technique? Explain.
b. Calculate the project’s net present value (NPV). Is the project acceptable under the NPV technique? Explain.
c. Calculate the project’s internal rate of return (IRR). Is the project acceptable under the IRR technique? Explain.
d. In this case, did the two methods produce the same results? Generally, is there a preference between the NPV and IRR techniques? Explain. d.
A)
Cash outflow= 25 million, which means 25000000
year | cash inflow | cumulative cash inflow |
1 | 500000 | 500000 |
2 | 1000000 | 1500000 |
3 | 1000000 | 2500000 |
4 | 2500000 | 5000000 |
5 | 2500000 | 7500000 |
6 | 3000000 | 10500000 |
7 | 3500000 | 14000000 |
8 | 4000000 | 18000000 |
9 | 6000000 | 24000000 |
10 | 8000000 | 32000000 |
11 | 10500000 | 42500000 |
12 | 12000000 | 54500000 |
Pay back period= 9 years +[ (25000000-24000000)/ (32000000-24000000) ] * 12
9 years + (1000000/8000000) * 12
9 years + 0.125 * 12
9years and 1.5 months
Payback period = 9.15
The firm prefer payback period in between 1 to 4 years. The project showing a payback period of 9.15, so it is better to reject the project under payback period.
B)
NPV = Present value of cash inflow – Initial investment
year | cash inflow | pvf @ 14% | present value of cash inflow |
1 | 500000 | 0.8772 | 438596.4912 |
2 | 1000000 | 0.7695 | 769467.5285 |
3 | 1000000 | 0.6750 | 674971.5162 |
4 | 2500000 | 0.5921 | 1480200.693 |
5 | 2500000 | 0.5194 | 1298421.661 |
6 | 3000000 | 0.4556 | 1366759.643 |
7 | 3500000 | 0.3996 | 1398730.629 |
8 | 4000000 | 0.3506 | 1402236.219 |
9 | 6000000 | 0.3075 | 1845047.657 |
10 | 8000000 | 0.2697 | 2157950.476 |
11 | 10500000 | 0.2366 | 2484482.456 |
12 | 12000000 | 0.2076 | 2490709.229 |
Total present value | 17807574.20 | ||
(less) cash outflow | -25000000.00 | ||
Net Present Value (NPV) | -7192425.80 |
Considering NPV project showing a negative value, Firm can go for rejection of the project.
C)
IRR = Lowest rate + [(NPV at lowest rate)/(NPV at lowest rate –NPV at highest rate)] * difference in rate
cash flow at lowest rate | |||
year | cash inflow | pvf @ 9% | present value of cash inflow |
1 | 500000 | 0.9174 | 458715.5963 |
2 | 1000000 | 0.8417 | 841679.9933 |
3 | 1000000 | 0.7722 | 772183.4801 |
4 | 2500000 | 0.7084 | 1771063.028 |
5 | 2500000 | 0.6499 | 1624828.466 |
6 | 3000000 | 0.5963 | 1788801.981 |
7 | 3500000 | 0.5470 | 1914619.857 |
8 | 4000000 | 0.5019 | 2007465.119 |
9 | 6000000 | 0.4604 | 2762566.677 |
10 | 8000000 | 0.4224 | 3379286.455 |
11 | 10500000 | 0.3875 | 4069094.929 |
12 | 12000000 | 0.3555 | 4266416.701 |
Total present value | 25656722.28 | ||
(less) cash outflow | -25000000.00 | ||
Net Present Value (NPV) | 656722.28 |
(highest rate is taken as 14%, calculation is given above)
IRR= 9+(656722.28/( 656722.28-(-7192425.8))]*14-9
= 9+[656722.28/7849148.08]*5
= 9+ 0.42
IRR for the project = 9.4%
IRR is not that much higher, Its better to go for Rejection on the basis of IRR
D)
In the current project IRR and NPV shows the same result. Normally a company prefer IRR which is higher (at least higher than the WACC).
Compare between IRR and NPV, it is better to prefer NPV method. NPV will show profit derived from the project where IRR only shows the minimum required rate.