In: Statistics and Probability
For this problem, carry at least four digits after the decimal
in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to
rounding.
A random sample of medical files is used to estimate the proportion
p of all people who have blood type B.
(a) If you have no preliminary estimate for p, how many
medical files should you include in a random sample in order to be
85% sure that the point estimate p̂ will be within a
distance of 0.03 from p? (Round your answer up to the
nearest whole number.)
__________medical files
(b) Answer part (a) if you use the preliminary estimate that about
13 out of 90 people have blood type B.
__________ medical files
Solution:
Part a)
Given:
c = confidence level = 85%
E = Margin of Error = 0.03
no preliminary estimate for p is given.
thus p = 0.5
Zc is z critical value for c = 0.85 confidence level.
Find Area = ( 1+c)/2 = ( 1 + 0.85) / 2 = 1.85 /2 = 0.9250
Thus look in z table for Area = 0.9250 or its closest area and find corresponding z critical value.
Area 0.9251 is closest to 0.9250 , thus corresponding z value is 1.4 and 0.04
Thus Zc = 1.44
thus
Part b)
n = 90 and x = 13
thus estimate of p is:
thus