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In: Statistics and Probability

The weather forecast predicts an 80% chance of rain in the next hour. If rain follows...

The weather forecast predicts an 80% chance of rain in the next hour. If rain follows a poisson distri- bution, what is the chance of rain in the next HALF hour? Comment on the difference between the probability of rain in the next half hour versus the next hour. Before doing a calculation, what do you expect your answer to be:

Best guess for chance of rain in next half hour:

calculation:

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