In: Finance
At the end of year 3 , Dividend = $0.75
The dividend should grow rapidly - at a rate of 26% per year - during Years 4 and 5
At the end of year 4 , Dividend = $0.75( 1+ 0.26) = 0.945
At the end of year 5 , Dividend = $0.945( 1+ 0.26) = 1.191
after Year 5, growth should be a constant 6% per year
At the end of year 6 , Dividend = $1.191( 1+ 0.06) = 1.262
Using the Dividend Gordon growth model,
Terminal value of the stock at the end of year 5 = D6 / (k-g)
Where, D6 = Dividend at end of year 6 = 1.262
k = rate of return = 16%
g= constant growth = 6%
Hence Terminal value of the stock at the end of year 5 = 1.262 / (0.16 - 0.06)
= 12.6246
We need to find the present value of the dividends and terminal value to calculate the stock value today
This is shown in the table below,
year | Cash flow(CF) | PV factor | CF* Pv factor |
1 | 0 | 0.862069 | 0 |
2 | 0 | 0.743163 | 0 |
3 | 0.75 | 0.640658 | 0.480493255 |
4 | 0.945 | 0.552291 | 0.521915087 |
5 | 1.191 | 0.476113 | 0.567050601 |
5 | 12.6246 | 0.476113 | 6.010736374 |
Total | 7.580195318 |
Hence the value of stock today is $ 7.58