In: Statistics and Probability
For a particular intersection, it has been bserved that the rate of people going thorugh the intersection while talking on their cell phone follows a Poisson process with an average of 6 people talking on their cell ohone per minute. Let X = number of people talking on their cell phone while driving through this intersection every 5 minutes. What is the probability that the 15th person talking on their cell phone will be observed going through this intersection in at most 3 minutes?
GIVEN:
The rate of people going through the intersection while talking on their cell phone follows a Poisson process with an average of 6 people talking on their cell phone per minute.
people per minute.
Let X be the number of people
talking on their cell phone while driving through this intersection
every 5 minutes with average number of people
people per 5 minutes.
TO FIND:
The probability that the 15th person talking on their cell phone will be observed going through this intersection in at most 3 minutes.
SOLUTION:
During 3 minutes period, the average
number of people talking on their cell phone is
people per 3 minutes (by converting average number of people
per 5 minutes to average number of people per 3 minutes). Now let X
be the the number of people talking on their cell phone while
driving through this intersection every 3 minutes with average
number of people talking on their cell phones is 18 people per 3
minutes.
The PDF of poisson distribution is given by,
Thus the probability that the 15th person talking on their cell phone observed going through this intersection in at most 3 minutes is given by,
Thus the probability that the 15th person talking on their cell phone will be observed going through this intersection in at most 3 minutes is 0.079.