In: Finance
Your investment has a 30% chance of earning a 10% rate of return, a 40% chance of earning a 23% rate of return and a 30% chance of earning -7%. What is the standard deviation on this investment? (Put your answers in decimal points instead of percentage)
You calculated that the average return of your portfolio is 7% and the standard deviation is 17%, what is the value at risk (VaR) at 5% for your portfolio?
Calculation of the standard deviation of the investment
Possible return Probability Possible return *probability =possible outcome
10% .3 (30%) 3%
23% .4 (40%) 9.2%
-7% .3 (30%) -2.1%
Expected return =3%+9.2%-2.1%
=10.1%
Deviation=(possible outcome-expexted return) deviaton square
3%-10.1% = -7.1 -7.1*-7.1 =50.41
9.2%-10.1%= -.9 -.9*-.9 =.81
-7%-2.1%= -9.1 -9.1*-9.1 =82.81
Probability *deviation square
.3*50.41 =151.23
.4*.81 =3.24
.3*82.81 =24.843
=151.23+3.24+24.843
=179.313
standard deviation of the investment =S.d√probability *deviation square
=√ 179.313
=13.39