In: Statistics and Probability
New York City is the most expensive city in the United States for lodging. The mean hotel room rate is $205 per night (USA Today, April 30, 2012). Assume that room rates are normally distributed with a standard deviation of $53. Use Table 1 in Appendix B.
a. What is the probability that a hotel room costs $224 or more per night (to 4 decimals)?
b. What is the probability that a hotel room costs less than $139 per night (to 4 decimals)?
c. What is the probability that a hotel room costs between $201 and $299 per night (to 4 decimals)?
d. What is the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in New York City? Round up to the next dollar.
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 205
standard deviation = = 53
P(x 224) = 1 - P(x < 224)
= 1 - P((x - ) / (224 - 205) / 53)
= 1 - P(z 0.36)
= 1 - 0.6406
= 0.3594
P(x 224) = 0.3594
Probability = 0.3594
b)
P(x < 139) = P((x - ) / < ( 139 - 205) / 53) = P(z < -1.25)
Using standard normal table,
P(x < 139) = 0.1056
Probability = 0.1056
(c)
P(201 < x < 299) = P((201 - 205 / 53) < (x - ) / < (299 - 205) / 53) )
P(201 < x < 299) = P(-0.08 < z < 1.77)
P(201 < x < 299) = P(z < 1.77) - P(z < -0.08)
P(201 < x < 299) = 0.9616 - 0.4681 = 0.4935
Probability = 0.4935
(d)
P(Z > z) = 20%
1 - P(Z < z) = 0.20
P(Z < z) = 1 - 0.20 = 0.80
P(Z < 0.84) = 0.80
z = 0.84
Using z-score formula,
x = z * +
x = 0.84 * 53 + 205 = 249.52 = 250
Cosr = $250