Question

In: Statistics and Probability

New York City is the most expensive city in the United States for lodging. The mean...

New York City is the most expensive city in the United States for lodging. The mean hotel room rate is $204 per night. Assume that room rates are normally distributed with a standard deviation of $55.

a. What is the probability that a hotel room costs $225 or more per night?

b. What is the probability that a hotel room costs less than $140 per night?

c. What is the probability that a hotel room costs between $200 and $300 per night?

d. What is the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution:

Given: The room rates are normally distributed with mean hotel room rate is $204 per night and a standard deviation of $55.

That is:   X ~ Normal

Part a. What is the probability that a hotel room costs $225 or more per night?

Find z score:

Thus we get:

Look in z table for z= 0.3 and 0.08 and find area.

Thus from z table we get: P( Z < 0.38 ) = 0.6480

Thus

Part b. What is the probability that a hotel room costs less than $140 per night?

That is: P( X < 140) =..........?

Find z score:

Thus we get:

P( X < 140) =P( Z < -1.16)

Look in z table for z= -1.1 and 0.06 and find area.

Thus from z table we get: P( Z < -1.16 ) = 0.1230

Thus

P( X < 140) =P( Z < -1.16)

P( X < 140) =0.1230

Part c. What is the probability that a hotel room costs between $200 and $300 per night?

That is: P( 200 < X < 300) =.........?

Find z score:

and

Thus we get:

P( 200 < X < 300) = P( -0.07 < Z < 1.75)

P( 200 < X < 300) = P(Z < 1.75) - P( Z < -0.07 )

Look in z table for z = -0.00 and 0.07 as well as for z = 1.7 and 0.05 and find corresponding area.

Thus from z table we get:

P( Z < -0.07) = 0.4721

and

P( Z < 1.75) = 0.9599

Thus:

P( 200 < X < 300) = P(Z < 1.75) - P( Z < -0.07 )

P( 200 < X < 300) =   0.9599 - 0.4721

P( 200 < X < 300) = 0.4878

Part d. What is the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City?

That is find x value such that :

P( X > x) =20%

P( X > x) =0.2000

Thus find z value such that:

P( Z > z) =0.2000

then

P( Z < z) =1 - P( Z > z )

P( Z < z) =1 - 0.2000

P( Z < z) = 0.8000

Look in z table for Area = 0.8000 and find corresponding z value.

From above z table , we can see that area 0.7995 is most closet to 0.8000 and it corresponds to 0.8 and 0.04

Thus z = 0.84

Now use following formula to find x value:

thus the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City is $ 250.2


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