In: Statistics and Probability
New York City is the most expensive city in the United States for lodging. The mean hotel room rate is $204 per night. Assume that room rates are normally distributed with a standard deviation of $55.
a. What is the probability that a hotel room costs $225 or more per night?
b. What is the probability that a hotel room costs less than $140 per night?
c. What is the probability that a hotel room costs between $200 and $300 per night?
d. What is the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City?
Solution:
Given: The room rates are normally distributed with mean hotel room rate is $204 per night and a standard deviation of $55.
That is: X ~ Normal
Part a. What is the probability that a hotel room costs $225 or more per night?
Find z score:
Thus we get:
Look in z table for z= 0.3 and 0.08 and find area.
Thus from z table we get: P( Z < 0.38 ) = 0.6480
Thus
Part b. What is the probability that a hotel room costs less than $140 per night?
That is: P( X < 140) =..........?
Find z score:
Thus we get:
P( X < 140) =P( Z < -1.16)
Look in z table for z= -1.1 and 0.06 and find area.
Thus from z table we get: P( Z < -1.16 ) = 0.1230
Thus
P( X < 140) =P( Z < -1.16)
P( X < 140) =0.1230
Part c. What is the probability that a hotel room costs between $200 and $300 per night?
That is: P( 200 < X < 300) =.........?
Find z score:
and
Thus we get:
P( 200 < X < 300) = P( -0.07 < Z < 1.75)
P( 200 < X < 300) = P(Z < 1.75) - P( Z < -0.07 )
Look in z table for z = -0.00 and 0.07 as well as for z = 1.7 and 0.05 and find corresponding area.
Thus from z table we get:
P( Z < -0.07) = 0.4721
and
P( Z < 1.75) = 0.9599
Thus:
P( 200 < X < 300) = P(Z < 1.75) - P( Z < -0.07 )
P( 200 < X < 300) = 0.9599 - 0.4721
P( 200 < X < 300) = 0.4878
Part d. What is the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City?
That is find x value such that :
P( X > x) =20%
P( X > x) =0.2000
Thus find z value such that:
P( Z > z) =0.2000
then
P( Z < z) =1 - P( Z > z )
P( Z < z) =1 - 0.2000
P( Z < z) = 0.8000
Look in z table for Area = 0.8000 and find corresponding z value.
From above z table , we can see that area 0.7995 is most closet to 0.8000 and it corresponds to 0.8 and 0.04
Thus z = 0.84
Now use following formula to find x value:
thus the cost of the 20% most expensive hotel rooms in the New York City is $ 250.2