In: Finance
Talcville Farms just paid a dividend of $3.32 on its stock. The growth rate in dividends is expected to be a constant 5.6% per year indefinitely. Investors require a 15.6% return on the stock for the first three years, a 13.6% return for the next three years, and an 11.6% return thereafter. What is the current share price?
Price of Stock = PV of Cfs from it.
We can use Gordon formula only if the Ke & g are constant.
Div Calculation:
Year | CF | Formula | Calculation |
1 | $ 3.51 | D0(1+g) | 3.32*1.056 |
2 | $ 3.70 | D1(1+g) | 3.51*1.056 |
3 | $ 3.91 | D2(1+g) | 3.70*1.056 |
4 | $ 4.13 | D3(1+g) | 3.91*1.056 |
5 | $ 4.36 | D4(1+g) | 4.13*1.056 |
6 | $ 4.60 | D5(1+g) | 4.36*1.056 |
7 | $ 4.86 | D6(1+g) | 4.60*1.056 |
P6 = D7 / [ Ke - g ]
= 4.86 / [ 11.6% - 5.6% ]
= 4.86 / 6%
= $ 81.03
Price calculation TOday:
Year | CF | PVF | Disc CF | PVF Calculation |
1 | $ 3.51 | 0.8651 | $ 3.03 | 1/1.156 |
2 | $ 3.70 | 0.7483 | $ 2.77 | 0.8651/1.156 |
3 | $ 3.91 | 0.6473 | $ 2.53 | 0.7483/1.156 |
4 | $ 4.13 | 0.5698 | $ 2.35 | 0.6473/1.136 |
5 | $ 4.36 | 0.5016 | $ 2.19 | 0.5698/1.136 |
6 | $ 4.60 | 0.4416 | $ 2.03 | 0.5016/1.136 |
6 | $ 81.03 | 0.4416 | $ 35.78 | 0.5016/1.136 |
Price Today | $ 50.69 |