Question

In: Finance

Using the free cash flow valuation model to price an IPO  Personal Finance Problem   Assume that...

Using the free cash flow valuation model to price an IPO  Personal Finance Problem   Assume that it is the end of year 2015 and you have an opportunity to buy the stock of​ CoolTech, Inc., an IPO being offered for

​$4.33

per share. Although you are very much interested in owning the​ company, you are concerned about whether it is fairly priced. To determine the value of the​ shares, you have decided to apply the free cash flow valuation model to the​firm's financial data that​ you've developed from a variety of data sources. The key values you have compiled are summarized in the following​ table,

Free cash flow

Year​ (t)

FCF

Other data

2016

​$750,000

Growth rate of​ FCF, beyond 2019 to

infinityequals=5 %

2017

​$900,000

Weighted average cost of

capitalequals=13 %

2018

​$990,000

Market value of all

debtequals=$2,300,000

2019

​$1,090,000

Market value of preferred

stockequals=$920,000

Number of shares of common stock to be

issuedequals=1,100,000

.

a. Use the free cash flow valuation model to estimate​ CoolTech's common stock value per share.

a. The value of​ CoolTech's entire company is

​$ 11,497,477

The value per share of​ CoolTech's common stock is

​$ 7.52

b.  On the basis of your finding in part a and the​ stock's offering​ price, should you buy the​ stock?

c. On further​ analysis, you find that the growth rate in FCF beyond 2019 will be

6​%

rather than

5​%.

What effect would this finding have on your responses in parts a and

b​?

c. If the growth rate in FCF beyond 2019 will be

6%

​, the value of​ CoolTech's entire company will be

​$ ? nothing.

​(Round to the nearest​ dollar.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

a) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
FCF $         7,50,000 $     9,00,000 $       9,90,000 $       10,90,000
PVIF at 13% 0.88496 0.78315 0.69305 0.61332
PV at 13% $         6,63,717 $     7,04,832 $       6,86,120 $         6,68,517
Sum of PV of FCF t2016 to t2019 $        27,23,186
Continuing value of FCF = 1090000*1.05/(0.13-0.05) = $   1,43,06,250
PV of continuing value of FCF = 14306250*0.61332 = $        87,74,309
Value of the entire company $    1,14,97,495
Value of debt $        23,00,000
Value of preferred stock $          9,20,000
Value of equity $        82,77,495
# shares 1100000
Value per share $                  7.52
b) As the offer price of $4.33 is less than the intrinsic
value of $7.52, the stock can be bought at the offerred
price.
c) FCF $         7,50,000 $     9,00,000 $       9,90,000 $       10,90,000
PVIF at 13% 0.88496 0.78315 0.69305 0.61332
PV at 13% $         6,63,717 $     7,04,832 $       6,86,120 $         6,68,517
Sum of PV of FCF t2016 to t2019 $        27,23,186
Continuing value of FCF = 1090000*1.06/(0.13-0.06) = $   1,65,05,714
PV of continuing value of FCF = 16505714*0.61332 = $    1,01,23,285
Value of the entire company $    1,28,46,470
Value of debt $        23,00,000
Value of preferred stock $          9,20,000
Value of equity $        96,26,470
# shares 1100000
Value per share $                  8.75
The decision is the same as the intrinsic value is more than the offer price.

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