In: Statistics and Probability
A simple random sample of front-seat occupants involved in car crashes is obtained. Among 2758 occupants not wearing seat belts, 30 were killed. Among 7650 occupants wearing seat belts, 12 were killed. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that seat belts are effective in reducing fatalities.
Consider the first sample to be the sample of occupants not wearing seat belts and the second sample to be the sample of occupants wearing seat belts. What are the null and alternative hypotheses for the hypothesis test?
Identify the test statistic. z=___
P-value=___
The P-value is ____ than the significance level of α=0.05, so ____ the null hypothesis. There ___ sufficient evidence to support the claim that the fatality rate is higher for those not wearing seat belts
The appropriate confidence interval is ___ < (p1 - p2) <____
Because the confidence interval limits ___, it appears that the two fatality rates are ____. Because the confidence interval limits include ____ values, it appears that the fatality rate is ______ for those not wearing seat belts.
What do the results suggest about the effectiveness of seat belts?
1)
x1 = | 30 | x2 = | 12 |
p̂1=x1/n1 = | 0.0109 | p̂2=x2/n2 = | 0.0016 |
n1 = | 2758 | n2 = | 7650 |
estimated prop. diff =p̂1-p̂2 = | 0.0093 | ||
pooled prop p̂ =(x1+x2)/(n1+n2)= | 0.0040 | ||
std error Se=√(p̂1*(1-p̂1)*(1/n1+1/n2) = | 0.0014 | ||
test stat z=(p̂1-p̂2)/Se = | 6.61 | ||
P value = | 0.0000 |
The P-value is less than the significance level of α=0.05, so reject the null hypothesis. There sufficient evidence to support the claim that the fatality rate is higher for those not wearing seat belts
estimated difference in proportion =p̂1-p̂2 = | 0.0093 | ||
std error Se =√(p̂1*(1-p̂1)/n1+p̂2*(1-p̂2)/n2) = | 0.0020 | ||
for 90 % CI value of z= | 1.645 | ||
margin of error E=z*std error = | 0.0033 | ||
lower bound=(p̂1-p̂2)-E= | 0.0060 | ||
Upper bound=(p̂1-p̂2)+E= | 0.0126 | ||
from above 90% confidence interval for difference in population proportion =(0.006 <p1-p2<0.013) |
Because the confidence interval limits contain 0 it appears that the two fatality rates are different Because the confidence interval limits include all positive values values, it appears that the fatality rate is higher or those not wearing seat belts