In: Statistics and Probability
A researcher wants to investigate the relationship between self-regulation and GPA. She randomly selects 200 undergraduate students and asks them to complete a scale measuring self-regulation (Self-control Schedule - SCS) and obtains their GPA from university administrative records (with their consent). The mean GPA is 2.9 with a standard deviation of 1.15. The mean for SCS is 22 with a standard deviation of 24. The correlation between the SCS and GPA is 0.40.
r = 0.40
MEAN Self-regulation (SCS) = 22
SD = 24
MEAN GPA = 2.9
SD = 1.15
Is the correlation significant? Meaningfully describe the finding
What is the coefficient of determination? Explain the meaning of this value.
What is the 95% CI for r? Interpret this confidence interval
If one student has a score of 36 on the SCS, what do you predict their GPA will be?
What is the standard error of the estimate of the above prediction? What does this value represent?
a)
correlation hypothesis test      
           
       
Ho:   ρ = 0      
           
   
Ha:   ρ ╪ 0      
           
   
          
           
   
n=   200      
           
   
alpha,α =    0.05      
           
   
correlation , r =   0.4000      
           
   
          
           
   
Df =    n-2 =   198  
           
   
t-test statistic = r*√(n-2)/√(1-r²) =   
    0.4000   * √   
198   / √ ( 1 -    0.4000   ² )
=
          
           
   
p-value =    0.0000   [excel function:
=t.dist.2t(t-stat,df) ]       
           
decision:   p value < α , so, reject the null
hypothesis          
           
correlation is significant.
so there is relationship between two
............
b)
coefficient of determination= (0.4^2)
= 0.16
16% of variation is explained by X
...............
c)
Confidence interval for correlation coefficient-  
           
           
   
Transformed r into z = 1/2*ln((1+r)/(1-r)) =  
0.4236          
           
    -1.649898073
the std error = 1/√(N-3)=   1/√(200- 3 ) =   
0.07124705          
           
          
           
       
Z critical value=   1.9600   [excel function:
"=NORMSINV(α/2)" ]      
           
   
          
           
       
95%   confidence interval = transformed r ± critical
value*std error = 0.4236±1.96*0.0712      
           
       
=   (   0.2840   ,  
0.5633   )      
   
          
           
       
now, need to transform these limits(t) back to correlation
coefficient scale ( r) by taking (e^2t - 1)/(e^2t + 1)  
           
           
   
So, lower limit =    0.2766  
           
           
Upper limit =   0.5104      
   
r will lie betwen these limits
..............
      
       
d)
slope =0.4*1.15/24
=0.0192
intercept =ß0 = y̅-ß1* x̄
=2.9-(0.0192*22)
=2.4776
Y =2.4776+0.0192*X
x= 36
Y=2.4776+0.0192*36
=3.1688
................
e)
S(errors) = (SQRT(1 minus R-squared)) x STDEV of y
=0.9165*1.15
=1.054
..................
THANKS
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