In: Economics
Q2. Based on 3600 days of data, you estimated a daily mean log return around 4.0 bps and a daily standard deviation of about 150 bps for NASDAQ index.
Q2a. What is the standard error for your mean estimate?
Q2b. At 95% confidence, can your reject that the true mean at daily level is zero or lower?
Q2c. What is the probability of losing money in ONE year?
Q2d. What is the probability of TRIPLING your money in FOUR years?