In: Statistics and Probability
Let x represent the dollar amount spent on supermarket impulse buying in a 10-minute (unplanned) shopping interval. Based on a certain article, the mean of the x distribution is about $38 and the estimated standard deviation is about $5.
(a) Consider a random sample of n = 40 customers, each of whom has 10 minutes of unplanned shopping time in a supermarket. From the central limit theorem, what can you say about the probability distribution of x, the average amount spent by these customers due to impulse buying? What are the mean and standard deviation of the x distribution?
The sampling distribution of x is approximately normal
with mean μx = 38 and standard error σx =
$5.The sampling distribution of x is approximately normal with mean
μx = 38 and standard error σx =
$0.13. The sampling distribution of x is
approximately normal with mean μx = 38 and standard
error σx = $0.79.The sampling distribution of x is not
normal.
Is it necessary to make any assumption about the x distribution? Explain your answer.
It is not necessary to make any assumption about the
x distribution because n is large.It is necessary to
assume that x has an approximately normal
distribution. It is necessary to assume that
x has a large distribution.It is not necessary to make any
assumption about the x distribution because μ is
large.
(b) What is the probability that x is between $36 and
$40? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(c) Let us assume that x has a distribution
that is approximately normal. What is the probability that x
is between $36 and $40? (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(d) In part (b), we used x, the average amount spent, computed for 40 customers. In part (c), we used x, the amount spent by only one customer. The answers to parts (b) and (c) are very different. Why would this happen?
The mean is larger for the x distribution than it is
for the x distribution.The sample size is smaller for the x
distribution than it is for the x
distribution. The standard deviation is
smaller for the x distribution than it is for the x
distribution.The standard deviation is larger for the x
distribution than it is for the x distribution.The x
distribution is approximately normal while the x
distribution is not normal.
In this example, x is a much more predictable or reliable statistic than x. Consider that almost all marketing strategies and sales pitches are designed for the average customer and not the individual customer. How does the central limit theorem tell us that the average customer is much more predictable than the individual customer?
The central limit theorem tells us that small sample sizes have small standard deviations on average. Thus, the average customer is more predictable than the individual customer.The central limit theorem tells us that the standard deviation of the sample mean is much smaller than the population standard deviation. Thus, the average customer is more predictable than the individual customer.
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Refer Standard normal table/Z-table to find the probability or use excel formula "=NORM.S.DIST(2.53, TRUE)" & "=NORM.S.DIST(-2.53, TRUE)" to find the probability.
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Refer Standard normal table/Z-table to find the probability or use excel formula "=NORM.S.DIST(0.40, TRUE)" & "=NORM.S.DIST(-0.40, TRUE)" to find the probability.
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The standard deviation is smaller for the distribution than it is for the x distribution.
The central limit theorem tells us that the standard deviation of the sample mean is much smaller than the population standard deviation. Thus, the average customer is more predictable than the individual customer.