In: Statistics and Probability
For this problem, carry at least four digits after the decimal
in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to
rounding.
In a marketing survey, a random sample of 1002 supermarket shoppers
revealed that 280 always stock up on an item when they find that
item at a real bargain price.
(a)
Let p represent the proportion of all supermarket
shoppers who always stock up on an item when they find a real
bargain. Find a point estimate for p. (Enter a number.
Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(b)
Find a 95% confidence interval for p. (For each answer,
enter a number. Round your answers to three decimal places.)
lower limit
upper limit
Give a brief explanation of the meaning of the interval.
We are 95% confident that the true proportion of shoppers who stock up on bargains falls outside this interval. We are 5% confident that the true proportion of shoppers who stock up on bargains falls above this interval. We are 95% confident that the true proportion of shoppers who stock up on bargains falls within this interval. We are 5% confident that the true proportion of shoppers who stock up on bargains falls within this interval.
(c)
As a news writer, how would you report the survey results on the percentage of supermarket shoppers who stock up on items when they find the item is a real bargain?
Report the margin of error. Report p̂. Report the confidence interval. Report p̂ along with the margin of error.
What is the margin of error based on a 95% confidence interval?
(Enter a number. Round your answer to three decimal places.)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1002
x = 280
(A)Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 280/1002=0.2794
AnsB
1 - = 1 - 0.2794=0.7206
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
= 1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z 0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table ( see the 0.025 value
in standard normal (z) table corresponding z value is 1.96 )
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.2794*0.7206 /1002 )
E = 0.0278
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.2794 -0.0278< p < 0.2794 +0.0278
0.2517< p < 0.3072
(lower limit =0.252 , upper limit =0.307)
(C)We are 95% confident that the true proportion of shoppers who stock up on bargains falls within this interval. (lower limit =0.252 , upper limit =0.307)