In: Finance
Innovation Company is thinking about marketing a new software product. Upfront costs to market and develop the product are $ 4.98 million. The product is expected to generate profits of $ 1.02 million per year for 10 years. The company will have to provide product support expected to cost $ 91 comma 000 per year in perpetuity. Assume all profits and expenses occur at the end of the year.
a. What is the NPV of this investment if the cost of capital is 6.2 %? Should the firm undertake the project? Repeat the analysis for discount rates of 1.7 % and 12.6 %, respectively.
b. What is the IRR of this investment opportunity?
c. What does the IRR rule indicate about this investment?
A. Initial Investment
Initial Investment (Upfornt cost) = 4.98 million
B. Present Value of profits
= 1.02 * Present Value Annuity Factor 6.2%, 10 Years
= 1.02 * 7.290 = 7.436 million
C. Present value of product support
Present value of perpetuity = Amount / Interest Rate
Present Value = 91,000 / 0.062 = 1,467,741.94
NPV = B - (A+C)
NPV = 7.436 - (4.98 + 1.46)
NPV = 0.996 Million
NPV is positive project should be rejected
If the discount rate is 1.7%
A. Initial Investment
Initial Investment (Upfornt cost) = 4.98 million
B. Present Value of profits
= 1.02 * Present Value Annuity Factor 1.7%, 10 Years
= 1.02 * 9.125 = 9.308 million
C. Present value of product support
Present value of perpetuity = Amount / Interest Rate
Present Value = 91,000 / 0.017 = 5,352,941.18
NPV = B - (A+C)
NPV = 9.308 - (4.98 + 5.35)
NPV = -1.022 Million
NPV is negative project should be rejected
If the discount rate is 12.6%
A. Initial Investment
Initial Investment (Upfornt cost) = 4.98 million
B. Present Value of profits
= 1.02 * Present Value Annuity Factor 12.6%, 10 Years
= 1.02 * 5.514 = 5.624 million
C. Present value of product support
Present value of perpetuity = Amount / Interest Rate
Present Value = 91,000 / 0.126 = 722,222.22
NPV = B - (A+C)
NPV = 5.624 - (4.98 + 0.722)
NPV = -0.077 Million
NPV is negative project should be rejected
Calculation of IRR
First of all we will calculate total cash flow of the project
Since the product support expenses is till perpetuity we have taken cash flows till 100 years
Then we will use the formulae of IRR in excel
year | Initial Investment | Annual Profit | Product Support | Total Cash Flow |
0 | -4.98 | -4.98 | ||
1 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
2 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
3 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
4 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
5 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
6 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
7 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
8 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
9 | 1.02 | -0.091 | 0.929 | |
10 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
11 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
. | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . |
95 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
96 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
97 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
98 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
99 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
100 | -0.091 | -0.091 | ||
IRR | 9.89% |
IRR rule indicate
IRR rule indicate that at 9.89% discount rate NPV of the project will be zero
IRR rule indicate that for any discout rate above IRR (ie above 9.89%) project should not be accepted, this will lead to negative NPV