In: Statistics and Probability
Students at a certain school were surveyed, and it was estimated that 19% of college students abstain from drinking alcohol. To estimate this proportion in your school, how large a random sample would you need to estimate it to within 0.08 with probability 0.99, if before conducting the study (a) you are unwilling to predict the proportion value at your school and (b) you use the results from the surveyed school as a guideline.
a. n=
b. n=
Solution,
Given that,
a) = 1 - = 0.5
margin of error = E = 0.08
At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
= 1 - 0.99 =0.01
/2
= 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.08 )2 * 0.5 * 0.5
= 259.21
sample size = n = 260
b) = 0.19
1 - = 1 - 0.19 = 0.81
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (2.576 / 0.08 )2 * 0.19 * 0.81
= 159.56
sample size = n = 160