In: Statistics and Probability
Considering the following time series data: (Tableau)
Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear equation and any other non- linear equation. Provide R-squared for both cases.
Estimate the price of gold (ounce) for 2020. Does this seem like a reasonable estimate based on historical data?
What is the quality of the forecast? Also, Provide Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Year |
Price of Gold (ounce) |
2005 |
$513.00 |
2006 |
$635.70 |
2007 |
$836.50 |
2008 |
$869.75 |
2009 |
$1,087.50 |
2010 |
$1,420.25 |
2011 |
$1,531.00 |
2012 |
$1,664.00 |
2013 |
$1,204.50 |
2014 |
$1,199.25 |
2015 |
$1,060.00 |
Please provide step by step tabulea solution and output.