Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Considering the following time series data: (Tableau) Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear...

Considering the following time series data: (Tableau)

  1. Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear equation and any other non- linear equation. Provide R-squared for both cases.

  2. Estimate the price of gold (ounce) for 2020. Does this seem like a reasonable estimate based on historical data?

  3. What is the quality of the forecast? Also, Provide Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).

Year

Price of Gold (ounce)

2005

$513.00

2006

$635.70

2007

$836.50

2008

$869.75

2009

$1,087.50

2010

$1,420.25

2011

$1,531.00

2012

$1,664.00

2013

$1,204.50

2014

$1,199.25

2015

$1,060.00

Please provide step by step tabulea solution and output.

Solutions

Expert Solution


Related Solutions

Considering the following time series data: (Tableau) Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear...
Considering the following time series data: (Tableau) Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear equation and any other non- linear equation. Provide R-squared for both cases. Estimate the price of gold (ounce) for 2020. Does this seem like a reasonable estimate based on historical data? What is the quality of the forecast? Also, Provide Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Year Price of Gold (ounce) 2005 $513.00 2006 $635.70 2007 $836.50 2008 $869.75...
(10) Considering the following time series data: (Tableau) A. Determine the least squares trend equation. Use...
(10) Considering the following time series data: (Tableau) A. Determine the least squares trend equation. Use a linear equation and any other nonlinear equation. Provide R-squared for both cases. B. Estimate the price of gold (ounce) for 2020. Does this seem like a reasonable estimate based on historical data? C. What is the quality of the forecast? Also, Provide Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Price of Gold (ounce) 2005 $513.00 2006 $635.70 2007 $836.50...
An investigator estimates the following equation using Ordinary Least Squares from time series data: Y1 =...
An investigator estimates the following equation using Ordinary Least Squares from time series data: Y1 = a0 + a1X1t + a2X2t + Ut The following scenarios represent violations of the CLRM assumptions. For each scenario, state the underlying assumption being referred to and state the null hypothesis of that assumption. i- There is another important variable, which has been omitted. ii- X1 and X2 are correlated iii- Ui is correlated with its own past values. iv- The mean value of...
Calculate the Coefficient of Correlation and the Least Squares Equation for the following data, hours of...
Calculate the Coefficient of Correlation and the Least Squares Equation for the following data, hours of study (x) and hours of sleep(y). Using your equation, if the hours of study is 5, what is the expected hours of sleep? For any credit, make sure you show your work and submit a PDF or picture of it via the test assignment in Week 5. Hours of Study Hours of Sleep 2 10 6 6 6 5 3 9 2 12
a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts at Fair...
a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts at Fair Savings Bank and use it to predict expected new checking accounts for periods 16 through 19. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Period New Accounts Period New Accounts Period New Accounts 1 200 6 239 11 281 2 215 7 246 12 275 3 211 8 250 13 283 4 229 9 256 14 288 5 235 10 267...
4. Time-series data contain both trend and seasonal variations. Use an example of quarterly data to...
4. Time-series data contain both trend and seasonal variations. Use an example of quarterly data to explain how you would measure the trend and how you would measure the seasonal variation please TYPE your answer and dont finish this question without writing a full page also do not copy the other answers on this site for this question, they are in complete
Find the equation of the least-squares regression line ŷ and the linear correlation coefficient r for...
Find the equation of the least-squares regression line ŷ and the linear correlation coefficient r for the given data. Round the constants, a, b, and r, to the nearest hundredth. {(0, 10.8), (3, 11.3), (5, 11.2), (−4, 10.7), (1, 9.3)}
Find an equation for the least-squares regression line for the following data. Round answers to 3...
Find an equation for the least-squares regression line for the following data. Round answers to 3 decimal places (i.e. y = 1.234x -0.123) Advertising Expenses in 1000's of $ (x): 2.4, 1.6, 2, 2.6, 1.4, 1.6, 2, 2.2 Company Sales in 1000's of $ (y ):225, 184, 220, 240, 180, 184, 186, 215 y=    ?   x+   ? What would the company sales be if $2500 is spent on advertising?
Problem 3-9 a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts...
Problem 3-9 a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the following data on new checking accounts at Fair Savings Bank and use it to predict expected new checking accounts for periods 16 through 19. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Period New Accounts Period New Accounts Period New Accounts 1 200 6       231 11 281 2 213 7       244 12 275 3 211 8       250 13 286 4 222 9       254...
Estimate a linear time trend for the Netflix data using data for the period 2000Q1 ......
Estimate a linear time trend for the Netflix data using data for the period 2000Q1 ... Estimate a linear time trend for the Netflix data using data for the period 2000Q1 to 2008Q4. a. Carry out a preliminary analysis of the data including a line fit plot and interpret your results. b. Test whether the slope is significantly different from zero, using alpha = 0.05. c. Compute S and R2 and interpret the results. d. Compute point forecasts for sales...
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT