In: Finance
John is looking at several options to fund his son’s 4-year university degree.
The university fees of $45,000 a year will have be paid starting 11 years from today. He is analysing an insurance plan that pays out $45,000 a year for 4 years with the first payout 11 years from today. The insurance plan has several payment options:
Option 1 Pay $60,000 today.
Option 2 Beginning 1 year from today, pay $12,000 a year for the next 8 years.
Option 3 Beginning 1 year from today, make payments each year for the next 8 years. The first payment is $11,000 and the amount increases by 5% each year.
Answer the following questions regarding the options above:
(a) Calculate the present value of each option. Use a 10% discount rate.
(b) Analyse which option John should choose.
(c) If the discount rate is not given to you, what would be an appropriate discount rate to use?
In the given case, John will accept that option which will provide lesser cost from the given options.
A. Calculation of Present value (PV) of each option
Option 1 Present value is $60000
Option 2 PV = Principal(1/(1+r)^n)
i.e Principal is 12000, r is 10%, n(No. of period) = 8 Years
Thus PV calcualation as below
Years
Years | Principal | Rate factor @10% | PV $ |
1 | 12000 | 0.909 | 10908 |
2 | 12000 | 0.826 | 9912 |
3 | 12000 | 0.751 | 9012 |
4 | 12000 | 0.683 | 8196 |
5 | 12000 | 0.621 | 7452 |
6 | 12000 | 0.564 | 6768 |
7 | 12000 | 0.513 | 6156 |
8 | 12000 | 0.466 | 5592 |
Total | 63996 |
Option 3
PV is calculated as follow
Years | Principal | Rate factor @10% | PV $ |
1 | 11000 | 0.909 | 9999 |
2 | 11550 | 0.826 | 9540 |
3 | 12127 | 0.751 | 9107 |
4 | 12734 | 0.683 | 8697 |
5 | 13371 | 0.621 | 8303 |
6 | 14039 | 0.564 | 7918 |
7 | 14741 | 0.513 | 7562 |
8 | 15478 | 0.466 | 7213 |
Total | 68340 |
(B) Thus as per above solution, John should choose Option 1 is suitable with payment of $60000.
(C) The appropriate discount rate will as per IRR ( Internal rate of return) i.e Pv of Cash inflow = Pv of cash outflow.
As per above solution in B part,
Pv of Cash inflow is 60000
Pv of Cash outflow is as follow
Principal ( 1/(1+r)^n) i.e
As per IRR 60000=45000 (1/(1+r)^4)
r = 6.9%