In: Finance
Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard
Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman
Software Products Inc., as Vice-President of Finance. She believes
in adjusting projects for risk. Her father is somewhat skeptical
but agrees to go along with her. Her approach is somewhat different
than the risk-adjusted discount rate approach, but achieves the
same objective. She suggests that the inflows for each year of a
project be adjusted downward for lack of certainty and then be
discounted back at a risk-free rate. The theory is that the
adjustment penalty makes the inflows the equivalent of riskless
inflows, and therefore a risk-free rate is justified.
A table showing the possible coefficient of variation for an
inflow and the associated adjustment factor is shown next:
Coefficient of Variation |
Adjustment Factor |
||||
0 | − | 0.25 | 0.90 | ||
0.26 | − | 0.50 | 0.80 | ||
0.51 | − | 0.75 | 0.70 | ||
0.76 | − | 1.00 | 0.60 | ||
1.01 | − | 1.25 | 0.50 | ||
Assume a $185,000 project provides the following inflows with the
associated coefficients of variation for each year.
Year | Inflow | Coefficient of Variation | ||||
1 | $ | 32,000 | 0.16 | |||
2 | 59,600 | 0.20 | ||||
3 | 77,000 | 0.48 | ||||
4 | 62,200 | 0.72 | ||||
5 | 67,000 | 1.14 | ||||
Use Appendix B for an approximate answer but calculate your final
answer using the formula and financial calculator methods.
a. Fill in the table below: (Do not round
intermediate calculations. Round "Adjustment Factor" answers to 2
decimal places and other answers to the nearest whole
dollar.)
b-1. If the risk-free rate is 7 percent, compute
the net present value of the adjusted inflows. (Negative
amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not
round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal
places.)
b-2. Should this project be accepted?
Yes
No
Part A - FIlling up the table
Risk adjuested factor taken from Table A. Multiply them with CI to get Adjusted CI. Now this adjusted cash flow should be used for calculating NPV. Table is produced below with formula
NPV calculation is shown below
SInce the NPV of the project is negative, it should not be accepted