In: Statistics and Probability
6.3.11-T In a survey of 2480 adults in a recent year, 1352 say they have made a New Year's resolution. Construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population proportion. Interpret the results and compare the widths of the confidence intervals. The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is left parenthesis nothing comma nothing right parenthesis . (Round to three decimal places as needed.) The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is left parenthesis nothing comma nothing right parenthesis . (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2480
x = 1352
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 1352/2480=0.545
1 - = 1 - 0.545 = 0.455
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
=1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.545 * 0.455) / 2480)
= 0.016
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.545 - 0.016 < p < 0.545 + 0.016
(0.529 < p < 0.561)
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.545 * 0.455) / 2480)
= 0.020
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.545 - 0.020 < p < 0.545 + 0.020
(0.525 < p < 0.565)
The confidence level increases, the width is increases