Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The ministry of Health wishes to determine if there is a relationship between the number of...

  1. The ministry of Health wishes to determine if there is a relationship between the number of cigarettes smoked daily and life time health care costs The result of six sample smokers is recorded below.

Number of Cigarettes

Health Costs (in thousands$)

30

43

40

45

50

54

60

53

70

56

80

63

  1. Calculate the correlation coefficient
  2. Test is the correlation coefficient is different from zero (.01 level)
  3. Create the Ordinary Least Squares regression line
  4. Discuss the assumptions that you make in order to use the OLS line as a predictor.

Solutions

Expert Solution

  1. Calculate the correlation coefficient

The correlation coefficient is 0.958.

  1. Test is the correlation coefficient is different from zero (.01 level)

The hypothesis being tested is:

H0: ρ = 0

Ha: ρ ≠ 0

The t-statistic is 6.664.

The p-value is 0.0026.

Since the p-value (0.0026) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.

Therefore, we can conclude that the correlation coefficient is different from zero.

  1. Create the Ordinary Least Squares regression line

The Ordinary Least Squares regression line is:

y = 31.5905 + 0.3771*x

  1. Discuss the assumptions that you make in order to use the OLS line as a predictor.

There are four assumptions associated with a linear regression model:

  1. Linearity: The relationship between X and the mean of Y is linear.
  2. Homoscedasticity: The variance of residual is the same for any value of X.
  3. Independence: Observations are independent of each other.
  4. Normality: For any fixed value of X, Y is normally distributed.
Number of Cigarettes Health Costs (in thousands$)
30 43
40 45
50 54
60 53
70 56
80 63
0.917
r   0.958
Std. Error   2.367
n   6
k   1
Dep. Var. Health Costs (in thousands$)
ANOVA table
Source SS   df   MS F p-value
Regression 248.914 1   248.9143 44.41 .0026
Residual 22.4190 4   5.6048
Total 271.333 5  
Regression output confidence interval
variables coefficients std. error    t (df=4) p-value 95% lower 95% upper
Intercept 31.5905
Number of Cigarettes 0.3771 0.0566 6.664 .0026 0.2200 0.5343

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