Question

In: Statistics and Probability

6)a) A money launderer is illegally transferring money weekly to a particular offshore account. He transfers...

6)a) A money launderer is illegally transferring money weekly to a particular offshore account. He transfers money in the following amounts: $1000, S2000, 83000, $5000, and $10000. To avoid suspicion by the authorities, he cannot transfer amounts larger than $5000 two weeks in a row. Find a recurrence relation for the number Sn, of different sequences of transfers he can make in n weeks.

b) What is S1? S2? Find these by inspection without using the recurrence relation.

c) Solve the recurrence relation. You do not need to find c1 or c2.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Part a)

Let and represent the number of sequences of transfers in n weeks that do not end in $5000 and that end in $5000 respectively.

Now, the total of sequences in n weeks is given as :

Now, the transfer in the nth week can be any of $1000, $2000, $83000, $10000 irrespective of the transfer in (n-1)th week. Thus,

Let us call this equation (1)

the transfer in the nth week can be $5000 only if the transfer in (n-1)th week is not $5000. Thus,

Also, using equation(1)

Thus the recurrence relation is:

Part(b)

In the first week the transaction can be any of the 5 values, thus S1 = 5

Possible number of sequences for 2 weeks = 5*5 = 25

The only sequence in which $5000 occurs twice in a row is $5000, $5000. Thus, the number of invalid sequences = 1

Thus, the number of valid sequences for two weeks = Total sequences - Invalid sequences = 25-1=24

Thus, S2=24

Part(c)

The recurrence relation is:

The characteristic equation is:

Thus, the recurrence relation is:


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