In: Statistics and Probability
Use a 0.03 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of men who plan to vote in the next election is the same as the proportion of women who plan to vote (homogeneous). Men and Women were randomly selected and asked whether they planned to vote in the next election. The results are shown below. Show all work please
/ Men / Women Plan to Vote / 93 / 158 Do Not Plan to Vote / 116 / 91
null Hypothesis: Ho: p1-p2 = | 0.00 | |
alternate Hypothesis: Ha: p1-p2≠ | 0.00 |
for 0.03 level with two tailed test , critical value of z= | 2.170 | ||
Decision rule : reject Ho if absolute value of test statistic |z|>2.17 |
men | women | |
x= | 93 | 158 |
p̂=x/n= | 93/209=0.4450 | 158/249=0.6345 |
n = | 209 | 249 |
estimated prop. diff =p̂1-p̂2 =0.4450-0.6345= | -0.1896 | |
pooled prop p̂ =(x1+x2)/(n1+n2)=(93+158)/(209+249)= | 0.5480 | |
std error Se=√(p̂1*(1-p̂1)*(1/n1+1/n2) = | 0.0467 | |
test stat z=(p̂1-p̂2)/Se =(-0.1896-0)/0.0467= | -4.06 |
since test statistic falls in rejection region we reject null hypothesis |
we have sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of men who plan to vote in the next election is not the same as the proportion of women who plan to vote |