In: Accounting
IBM (US) needs to raise $100 or an equivalent in foreign currency to fund its operations in New York. It can issue a 3-year maturity Japanese yen bond at par, coupon rate 1% per annum. The current exchange rate is ¥85/$. Alternatively, it can issue the 3-year Eurodollar bond at par, with 3% coupon per year.
You forecast the future exchange rates as
follows:
Year 1 - ¥92
Year 2 - ¥98
Year 3 - ¥107
The Bank has quoted the following forward rates for
the yen/$ exchange rate:
Year 1 - ¥82
Year 2 - ¥80
Year 3 - ¥77
Assume that the market interest rates are 1% (Japan) and 3% (US) flat for the next three years. Which bond is cheaper for IBN to issue? Covered Bond or Uncovered Bond? Why? Show All Calculations.
| Japanese yen bond (Covered) | ||||
| Present | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
| Bond in $ | 100 | |||
| Exchange Rate( as per forward rate) | 85 | 82 | 80 | 77 |
| Bond Value in Yen | 8500 | |||
| Interest (in Yen) | 85 | 85 | 85 | |
| Bond Value(at maturity) | 0 | 0 | 8500 | |
| Total Amount to be paid yearly | 85 | 85 | 8585 | |
| Amount to be paid(in $) | 1.04 | 1.06 | 111.49 | |
| Total Outflow | 113.59 |
| Japanese yen bond (Uncovered) | ||||
| Present | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
| Bond in $ | 100 | |||
| Exchange Rate( as per forward rate) | 85 | 92 | 98 | 107 |
| Bond Value in Yen | 8500 | |||
| Interest (in Yen) | 85 | 85 | 85 | |
| Bond Value(at maturity) | 0 | 0 | 8500 | |
| Total Amount to be paid yearly | 85 | 85 | 8585 | |
| Amount to be paid(in $) | 0.92 | 0.87 | 80.23 | |
| Total Outflow | 82.02 |
| Eurodollar bond | ||||
| Present | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
| Bond in $ | 100 | |||
| Interest | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Bond Value( at maturity) | 0 | 0 | 100 | |
| Total Amount to be paid yearly | 3 | 3 | 103 | |
| Total Outflow | 109.00 |
From the above 3 tables we can conclude that the Uncovered Japanese Yen bond is the cheapest as its Total outflow(in $) is least.