In: Finance
Nachman Industries just paid a dividend of D0 = $2.50. Analysts expect the company's dividend to grow by 30% this year, by 10% in Year 2, and at a constant rate of 5% in Year 3 and thereafter. The required return on this low-risk stock is 9.00%. What is the best estimate of the stock’s current market value? Do not round intermediate calculations.
Please show work
This question is based on multiple period dividend discount model.
Calculation of Dividend for Year 1 and 2 .
Dividend for Year 1 - D0*(1+g)
= $2.50 * (1+0.30)
= $2.50 * 1.30
= $3.25
Dividend for Year 2 - D1*(1+g)
= $3.25 * (1+0.10)
= $3.25 * 1.10
= $3.575
Stage 1 - Calculation of Explicit Forecast period
Stage 2- Beyond 2 years
Expected dividend for the 3rd year i.e. D3 = D2 * (1+g). Growth rate now is 5%.
= $3.575 * (1 + 0.05)
= $3.575 * 1.05
= $3.75375
Horizon Price i.e. P2 = D3 / (Re-g)
= $3.75375 / (0.09 - 0.05)
= $3.75375 / 0.04
= $93.84375
Present Value of P2 = $93.84375 * 0.84167999
= $78.986407
Value of Stock = Stage 1 + Stage 2
= $5.99065735 + $78.986407
= $84.977064
Note - How did we calculate the discounting factors @9%
Year 1 = 1/1.09
= 0.91743119
Year 2 = 0.91743119/1.1189
= 0.84167999