In: Finance
Today, the continuous compound interest rate is 0.1% and one share of Amazon is $2367.92.
1. What price do you expect Amazon to be 6 months from now? What European style option should you buy in this case? Your future price can’t be a whole dollar, everyone should have different future stock price.
2. Assume the volatility of Amazon is 27% and you set your own strike price to 2 decimal places, find out how much your option in part 1 costs by using the Black-Scholes formula. You strike price can’t be a whole dollar, everyone should have different strike price.
3. Draw the profit diagram for the straddle with the strike price in part 2 above (you may need to use the put-call parity formula).
4. Use the binomial model with 4 steps to find the American style option price in part 2 above.
1.
S0: Present share price = $2367.92
r: interest rate = 0.1%
time = 6 months = 0.5 years
s: standard deviation = 27%
z: is a random number between -1.96 to 1.96
Assume z = 1
e: natural exponent
St = 2367.92*e^(0.1%*0.5+1*27%*(0.5^0.5)) = $2880.41 (expected stock price after 6-months)
Since the expected stock price has increased, I will prefer to buy a European call option
2.
K: strike price = 2870.41 (assumed)
So current stock price = 2367.91
r risk free rate = 0.1%
s: standard deviation = 27%
t: time to maturity = 6month = 0.5 year
d1 = -0.90993
d2 = -1.10085
N(d1) = normsdist(d1) = 0.1814
N(d2) = normsdist(d2) = 0.1355
C: value of call option
c = $40.92 (price of European call option)
3.
p: price of put option
p + So = c + K*e^(-r*t)
p + 2367.92 = 40.92 + 2870.41*e^(-0.1%*0.5)
p = 541.98
Pay-off diagram
4.
dt: time lengths = 6months/4 = 1.5 months = 1.5/12 or 0.125 years
u: up factor = e^(s*(dt^0.5)) = e^(27%*(0.125^0.5)) = 1.1
d: down factor = 1/1.1 = 0.91
p: probability of up movement
p = (e^(r*t)-d)/(u-d) = (e^(0.1%*0.5)-0.91)/(1.1-0.91) = 47.6%
q: probability of down movement = 1-47.6% = 52.4%
Price of American style call option = $30.79