In: Finance
Consider
Airnova Inc. has two types of bonds, Bond D and Bond F. Both have 8 percent coupons, make semiannual payments, and are priced at par value. Bond D has 2 years to maturity. Bond F has 15 years to maturity.
Airnova Inc. is considering four different types of stocks. They each have a required return of 20 percent and a dividend of $3.75 for share. Stocks, A, B, and C are expected to maintain constant growth rates in dividends for the near future of 10 percent, 0 percent, and -5 percent, respectively. Stock D is a growth stock and will increase its dividend by 30 percent for the next four years and then maintain a constant 12 percent growth rate after that.
Discuss
If interest rates suddenly rise by 2 percent, what is the percentage change in both bonds?
If interest rates suddenly fall by 2 percent, what is the percentage change in both bonds?
What does this tell you about the interest rate risk of longer-term bonds?
What is the dividend yield for each of the four stocks?
What is the expected capital gains yield?
1- | AT 5% YTM price of Bonds =10/2 =5% | ||||
Value of Bond D | (coupon payment*PVAF at 5% for 4 semi annual period)+(face value*pvf at 5% at 4th semiannual period) | (40*3.5458)+(1000*.8227) | 964.532 | ||
PVAF at 5% for 4 semi annual period | 1-(1+r)^-n/ r | 1-(1.05)^-4 / 5% | .17729/5% | 3.5458 | |
PVF at 5% at 4th semi annual period | 1/(1+r)^n | 1/(1.05)^4 | 0.82270247 | ||
Value of Bond F | (coupon payment*PVAF at 5% for 4 semi annual period)+(face value*pvf at 5% at 4th semiannual period) | (40*15.3724)+(1000*.2313) | 846.196 | ||
PVAF at 5% for 30 semi annual period | 1-(1+r)^-n/ r | 1-(1.05)^-30 / 5% | .76862/5% | 15.3724 | |
PVF at 5% at 30th semi annual period | 1/(1+r)^n | 1/(1.05)^30 | 0.23137745 | ||
% change in value of Bond D | (new price-old price)/old price | (964.53-1000)/1000 | -3.55% | ||
% change in value of Bond F | (new price-old price)/old price | (846.19-1000)/1000 | -15.38% | ||
2 | AT 3% YTM price of Bonds = 6/2 = 3% | ||||
Value of Bond D | (coupon payment*PVAF at 4% for 4 semi annual period)+(face value*pvf at 4% at 4th semiannual period) | (40*3.7170)+(1000*.8227) | 1030.232 | ||
PVAF at 3% for 4 semi annual period | 1-(1+r)^-n/ r | 1-(1.03)^-4 / 3% | .17729/5% | 3.5458 | |
PVF at 3% at 4th semi annual period | 1/(1+r)^n | 1/(1.03)^4 | 0.88848705 | ||
Value of Bond F | (coupon payment*PVAF at 3% for 4 semi annual period)+(face value*pvf at 3% at 4th semiannual period) | (40*19.6003)+(1000*.2313) | 1015.312 | ||
PVAF at 3% for 30 semi annual period | 1-(1+r)^-n/ r | 1-(1.03)^-30 / 5% | .58801/3% | 19.6003333 | |
PVF at 3% at 30th semi annual period | 1/(1+r)^n | 1/(1.03)^30 | 0.23137745 | ||
% change in value of Bond D | (new price-old price)/old price | (1030.23-1000)/1000 | 3.02% | ||
% change in value of Bond F | (new price-old price)/old price | (1015.31-1000)/1000 | 1.53% | ||
3- | From the above analysis it can be concluded that Bonds with higher maturity are more exposed to interest rate risk in comparison to short term maturity bonds. | ||||
4- | Price of Stock A | (expected dividend)/(required rate of return-growth rate) | (3.75*1.1)/(20%-10%) | 41.25 | |
Price of Stock B | (expected dividend)/(required rate of return-growth rate) | (3.75*1.0)/(20%-0%) | 18.75 | ||
Price of Stock C | (expected dividend)/(required rate of return-growth rate) | (3.75*.95)/(20%--5%) | 14.25 | ||
Price of Stock D | |||||
Year | |||||
0 | 3.75 | ||||
1 | 3.75*1.3^1 | 4.875 | |||
2 | 3.75*1.3^2 | 6.3375 | |||
3 | 3.75*1.3^3 | 8.23875 | |||
4 | 3.75*1.3^4 | 10.710375 | |||
5 | 10.7103*1.12 | 11.995536 | |||
terminal value =expected dividend in year 5/(required return-growth rate) | (11.99)/(20%-12%) | 149.875 | |||
Year | cash flow | present value of cash flow = cash flow/(1+r)^n r =20% n =1,2,3….4 | |||
1 | 4.875 | 4.0625 | |||
2 | 6.3375 | 5.28125 | |||
3 | 8.23875 | 4.76779514 | |||
4 | 10.710375 | 5.1651114 | |||
4 | 149.875 | 72.2776813 | |||
value of bond D = sum of present value of cash flow | 91.55 | ||||
4- | Dividend Yield on shares | dividend declared | Share price | Dividend Yield = dividend paid/price of stock | |
Shares | |||||
A | 3.75 | 41.25 | 9.09% | ||
B | 3.75 | 18.75 | 20.00% | ||
C | 3.75 | 14.25 | 26.32% | ||
D | 3.75 | 91.55 | 4.10% | ||
Capital Gain Yield = stock price at the end of next year/stock price today | |||||
stock price at the end of next year-A = dividend declared*(1+growth rate)^2 / (required rate-growth rate) | (3.75*1.1^2)/(20%-10%) | 45.375 | |||
stock price at the end of next year-B = dividend declared*(1+growth rate)^2 / (required rate-growth rate) | (3.75*1.0^2)/(20%-0%) | 18.75 | |||
stock price at the end of next year-A = dividend declared*(1+growth rate)^2 / (required rate-growth rate) | (3.75*.95^2)/(20%--5%) | 13.54 | |||
stock price at the end of next year-D = dividend declared*(1+growth rate)^2 / (required rate-growth rate) | (6.33)/1.2^1 +(103.95/1.2^1 | 91.9 | |||
Year | cash flow | present value of cash flow = cash flow/(1+r)^n r =20% n =1,2,3….4 | |||
1 | 6.3375 | 5.28125 | |||
2 | 8.23875 | 5.72135417 | |||
3 | 10.710375 | 6.19813368 | |||
3 | 149.875 | 86.7332176 | |||
value of bond D = sum of present value of cash flow | 103.933955 | ||||
5- | Capital gain yield | ||||
Stock | stock price after a year | stock price today | Capital gain yield = (stock price after a year/stock price today)-1 | ||
A | 45.375 | 41.25 | 10.0% | ||
B | 18.75 | 18.75 | 0.00% | ||
C | 13.54 | 14.25 | -5.00% | ||
D | 91.9 | 91.5543379 | 0.38% |