In: Finance
A stock just paid a dividend of $2.07. The dividend is expected to grow at 27.50% for three years and then grow at 3.34% thereafter. The required return on the stock is 11.89%. What is the value of the stock?
This question is based on multiple period dividend discount model.
Calculation of Dividend for Year 1,2 and 3.
Dividend for Year 1 - D0*(1+g)
= $2.07 * (1+0.2750)
= $2.6393
Dividend for Year 2 - D1*(1+g)
= $2.6393 * (1+0.2750)
= $3.3651
Dividend for Year 3 - D2*(1+g)
= $3.3651 * (1+0.2750)
= $4.2905
Stage 1 - Calculation of Explicit Forecast period
Stage 2- Beyond 3 years
Expected dividend for the 4th year i.e. D4 = D3 * (1+g). Growth rate now is 3.34%.
= $4.2905 * (1 + 0.0334)
= $4.2905 * 1.0334
= $4.4338
Horizon Price i.e. P3 = D4 / Re-g
= 4.4338 / (0.1189 - 0.0334)
= 4.4338 / 0.0855
= $51.8573
Present Value of P3 = $51.8573 * 0.7139
= $37.0226
Value of Stock = Stage 1 + Stage 2
= $8.1097 + $37.02
= $45.1297
Note - How did we calculate the discounting factor @11.89%
Year 1 = 1/1.1189
= 0.8937
Year 2 = 0.8937/1.1189
= 0.7988
Year 3 = 0.7988/1.1189
= 0.7139
Discounting Dividend factor @ Present Year ($) 11.89% Value ($) 2.6393 0.8937 2.3588 23.3651 0.7988) 2.6879 3 4.2905 0.7139 3.0629 8.1097